Airline Profits Threats


The surge in prices is becoming an advantage to oil stockholders while inflicting concerns and fear to commercial airline investors. As a result, Brent and WTI yearly performances across a variety of assets has increased. A report given by the International Air Transport Association (IATA) indicates a likelihood of an escalation in jet fuel costs. That will affect the profits as well with a 2018 approximation of $34 billion in comparison to December’s $38.4 billion estimates according to a June report.

Tax credits and extra one-off items boosted profits in 2017 to $38 billion. However, the escalated price in jet fuel costs will surpass the estimated 7% growth in passenger numbers for 2018. This is a weak figure in comparison to 2017. The beginning of 2018 was good news for the airline industry. Nonetheless, a report from the American Airlines and the United Airlines indicated a rise in fuels according to the Q1 earnings. The report was a comparison of 2017’s first three months.

An increase in oil prices attracts a rise in ticket costs in addition to reduced aircraft use due to cut flying hours. Companies fear to lead in raising prices given the stiff competition amid airlines. Another problem and a significant worry facing the airline industry is industrial action. One estimation of the cost from the surge of strikes through Europe originates from the European trade body A4E. A4E placed the price at $15.7 billion between 2010 and 2017. The attacks in May resulted to the cancellation of above 1000 flights by Ryanair. British Airways owner International Airlines Group (IAG) is currently consuming extra fuel re-routing journeys around the French territory.

Firms are facing a double tragedy of diminished profits due to increased fuel consumption while flights cancellation deteriorates revenue. Continuity of strikes means that 2019 IATA profit prospects are reduced. In the middle of these predicaments, IAG continues to operate on a forward PE ratio of 7. Annual growth in the number of passengers is expected to maintain at 10% as it was in May. This suggests continuity in growth despite the threats for IAG in its British Airways and Aer Lingus that are national and budget airlines respectively. A 3.6 per cent revenue increases the lure of the dividends.

IAG shares established solid backing around £5.75 throughout 2017 as well as early 2018, before rallying after March to new highs beyond £7.00. Consumers stepped in to preserve the £6.40-£6.50 area, so a recapture beyond £6.67 would recommend a recoil to £7.13.


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